Start/Sit, waiver wire pick-ups

Posted: October 12, 2011 in Fantasy Football

    By Chris Bates

             This week’s matchups in the National Football League provide some interesting plays in Fantasy Football.  For those of you that don’t know, the Denver Broncos are on a bye this week but when they come off the bye, they will have a new quarterback.  Kyle Orton is no longer the starter, its Tebow time in Denver! 

               I think Tebow is worth a pick up in leagues where he is available (if not already scooped up with waivers being processed this morning).  I don’t think he is an every week starter for your team but he is a viable bye-week fill in so why not scoop him up and see what kind of production he gives the Broncos.  In his 3 starts last season, he had a rushing touchdown in all 3 games and had 1 rushing and passing in last week’s game vs. the Chargers when he came off the bench to replace a struggling Orton.  Tebow is not just 1 player I think is worth an add, here is my list of pick-ups this week:

        Jackie Battle, RB, Chiefs.  He led the Chiefs in carries last week against the Colts gaining 119 yards on 19 carries.  The formerUniversity of Houston star is a hot waiver wire pick up because of the running back situation in Kansas City.  The chiefs don’t think veteran Thomas Jones can carry the load by himself and they believe Dexter McCluster is too small to be an every down back. Battle was impressive in the NFL draft combine, posting a 4.42 40-yard dash and was a standout at Houston rushing for 2,120 yards and 31 touchdowns in his 4 year career in college.  The Chiefs have already said they plan to give Battle a more increased workload next week against the Oakland Raiders.  He is not a weekly start for your fantasy team but is a good option for a bye-week fill in if you have somebody like Fred Jackson (who leads fantasy RB’s in points in standard leagues) on a bye next week.

       David Nelson, WR, Bills.   With the news that Buffalo’s #2 reciever Donald Jones is out 4-6 weeks with a high ankle sprain, Nelson becomes a great pick up in an explosive Bills offense.  Buffalo will still be relying heavily on Fred Jackson but the 6’5″ Nelson is a big target for quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick to throw to.  Although Nelson has only had 4 catches combined in his last 3 games, he did give fantasy owners some points last week as his only catch was a 6-yard touchdown.  The Bills will be looking for Nelson more for big plays down the field and down at the goaline to take advantage of his big frame.  If this guy is available in your league (available in about 48 percent of ESPN.com leagues) I advise you to pick him up and see what he can do in a starting role.  He has talent, Fitzpatrick and the Bills want to get Nelson more involved in the offense and depending on different matchups in the upcoming weeks, he’s not a bad play.

       Delone Carter, RB, Colts.  Starting running back Joseph Addai left last week’s game vs. the Chiefs with an apparent hamstring injury.  Anyone who plays fantasy football knows how much hamstring injuries can cost your team.  The injury always tends to linger and can be re-aggravated very easily.  Look for Carter to see an increased workload, although Donald Brown should get some carries as well for the 0-5 Colts.  Carter has looked good this season when filling in for Addai (41 carries for 125 yards as the 3rd string this season) but the Colts like what they have seen out of Carter, how he runs hard and they want to see what he can do given an opportunity to get more carries.  He’ll get that opportunity today.

       Ryan Torain, RB, Redskins.  Chances are this guy is already taken in your league but if by some miracle he’s still available scoop him up while you can.  Torain led the Redskins in carries, 19, yards, 135 and touchdowns, 1.  With Tim Hightower injuring his shoulder, Torain was able to pick up the load and then some.  I would be a little hesitant to start any Redskins running back right now unless you have no other option because you never know what you are gonna get in Mike Shanahan’s offense.  One week it could be Torain, the next Hightower or Helu.  I would take it day by day to see who the starter is, the Redskins have not announced whether it will be Torain or Hightower this week vs. the Eagles but both running backs are healthy so Torain should see some kind of workload.  Monitor this situation carefully in D.C.

     Start/Sit for Week 6

 

The players to start this week include:

Jimmy Graham vs. TB.  Leads all tight ends in points. He is a weekly starter, no question about it.

Fred Jackson vs. NYG.  Having a career year this, leads all fantasy RB’s in points in standard leagues.

Ben Roethlisberger vs. Jac.  Coming off a 5 touchdown performance against a good defense in Tennessee. Jacksonville is not a good defense.

Cedric Benson vs. Ind.  If Jackie Battle can rush for 119 yards against the Colts, Benson should have a huge day as he is a better RB and the Colts are a porous defense against the rush.

Cam Newton vs. Atl.  Newton is silencing his critics that he can’t throw the ball.  He is the first rookie in NFL history to have 4 300+ yard passing games in his first 5 games.  He will continue that against a beaten up Falcons secondary.  Look for him to connect early and often with his go to man Steve Smith.

Jason Campbell vs. Cle. Campbell has quietly had a very good season (1,118 yards, 6 touchdowns, 4 interceptions).  His numbers don’t blow you away but he manages the game nicely and is 12th among quarterbacks in fantasy this year.  He is going up against a Browns pass defense ranked 4th vs. the pass but are prone to give up big plays. Campbell doesn’t make much mistakes and that is what fantasy owners look for, a quarterback that doesn’t turn the ball over.  There are better options out there, but Campbell is not a bad play.

Miles Austin and Dez Bryant vs. NE.  Austin returned to practice this week after missing the last 2 games with a hamstring injury and the Cowboys say Bryant is now 100% healthy.  Look for both guys to have huge days against a Patriots defense ranked 32nd against the pass, dead last in the NFL.  This game will be a shootout so the Cowboys will need every bit of scoring they can get with these 2.

Packers D/ST.  I don’t usually talk about defenses and kickers but this week the Packers face the Rams offense who has given up the most sacks in the league.  Dom Capers and the Packers love to blitz, look for Clay Matthews and Co. to get to Sam Bradford early and often, causing numerous turnovers. 

Earnest Graham vs. NO.  Graham is a viable flex-play.  Look, the guy gets goal line carries and is more involved in the pass game with the Bucs coming out of the backfield (has 23 catches in the first 5 games).  That’s good for a RB that is not a starter on his team.   He has not scored yet this year, but my bold prediction is that he will score this week and get at least 10 fantasy points.  Solid for your fantasy team.

The players to sit this week include:

BenJarvus Green-Ellis or any Patriots RB vs. Dal.  The Cowboys are #1 in the NFL against the run only allowing 61 yards per game.  The law firm had a big day against the Jets defense (26th against the run).  Look for the Pats to pass it early and often.  Green-Ellis and Stevan Ridley are not good plays this week.

Matt Schaub vs. Bal.  The Ravens are coming off a bye, have had 2 weeks to prepare for a Texans offense without Andre Johnson.  Look for Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and Co. to shut the Texans offense down at home.

Pierre Garcon vs. Cin.  Garcon had a huge day last week vs. the Chiefs defense (ranked 17th against the pass).  He is Curtis Painter’s #1 option right now but not a lot of people know that the Bengals are the #1 defense in the NFL and are 3rd against the pass.  It’s not safe to play Garcon this week.

Frank Gore vs. Det.  Ever since his benching in the Philly game, Gore has come back to life.  2 straight 100+ yard rushing games but this week will be different.  The Niners are facing an undefeated Lions team that has one of the best Defensive lines in the game led by Ndamukong Suh.  Look for the Lions to crowd the line of scrimmage and make the Niners beat them with Alex Smith’s arm.

Owen Daniels vs. Hou.  See Matt Schaub.

Eagles D/ST vs. Wsh.  As mentioned earlier, Mike Shanahan likes to use 3 running backs in his system and the Eagles are atrocious against the run.  They allowed Fred Jackson to rush for 111 yards and catch 5 passes for another 86 yards.  The Eagles have been vulnerable all season, ranking 30th vs. the run.  This week is a good matchup for any Redskins running back.

Eli Manning vs. Buf.  The Bills intercepted both Tom Brady and Michael Vick 4 times this season; Eli threw 3 picks against the Seahawks last week.  Look for that trend to continue against an underrated Bills defense.

Desean Jackson vs. Wsh.  Jackson and quarterback Michael Vick just haven’t looked on the same page this season.  It seems that Jeremy Maclin has better chemistry with Vick than Jackson.  Maybe the contract situation of Jackson is affecting his play, I don’t know, I would stay away from Jackson this week.  Redskins rank 8th vs. the pass.

       These are my thoughts on who to start/sit in fantasy and this week’s waiver wire pick-ups.  Check back next week for more fantasy football opinions.  Good luck on your games this week everybody!

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Comments
  1. Joy Bates says:

    That’s awesome Chris! Wish I had a FF team!

  2. Jeff says:

    Hey Chris- What do yo think about picking up Mark Ingram? He seems like he’s starting to get the offense, he had a solid week, but nothing great. I’m hearing he’s going to start being used more as the season goes on, and will be featured. He’s go the potential to be a 100 yard, 2 td guy if he’s featured. He’s probably pretty cheap on the waiver wires. What do you think- snag him?

  3. Jeff says:

    In addition to the 300 yard passing games, Cam Newton has 7 TD passes, and 5 rushing TD’s through Week 5. He’s the first player in NFL history with at least 5 rushing TD’s and 5 passing TD’s in the first 5 games of his career. That makes it easier to accept the pay cut he took to leave Auburn I guess.

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