A&M- Baylor, UT- OSU headline this week’s games in college football

Posted: October 13, 2011 in Big 12 conference, College Football

By Chris Bates

   This week in college football there are numerous impactful games that affect the college football landscape.  Here are some of the impactful games:

Texas A&M vs. Baylor 

            #21 Texas A&M and#20 Baylor will face off in the Battle of the Brazos River on Saturday at 11 a.m.  The two teams will be meeting for only the 7th time in history when both teams are ranked.  Texas A&M leads the all-time series 67-31-9.  A&M is led by senior quarterback Ryan Tannehill who has passed for 1,327 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions.  He has not had the best season, but there are still games to be played.  A&M also has two good running backs in senior Cyrus Gray (averaging 95.8 rush yards per game) and junior Christine Michael (averaging 92 rypg).   Look for the Aggies to run the ball against Baylor’s defense that ranks 83rd in the nation against the run.  A&M is 17th nationally is rush offense, averaging 220 ypg.  A&M’s offense has been good all season long despite having 2 monumental second half collapses.  The Aggies rank 12th nationally in total offense (493.4 ypg), 18th in scoring offense (39 points per game) and the offensive line has only given up 3 sacks all season.

             Baylor is led by quarterback Robert Griffin III, also known as RG3 to Bears fans.  Griffin has had a breakout season passing for 1,520 yards with 19 touchdowns and only one interception.  He is completing 80 percent of his passes (114 for 142).  Baylor’s offense ranks third nationally in total offense (562.8 ypg) and fourth in scoring (47.6 ppg).  Running back Terence Ganaway averages 107 ypg on the ground.  Defensively, A&M leads the nation in sacks per game (4.2).  They will need every bit of that pressure against the athletic Griffin.  The Aggies rank 7th nationally in rush defense, only allowing 79 ypg but it is their pass defense that has been their achilles heel all season long.  A&M ranks 120th nationally in pass defense and 99th in total defense.

 Keys to the game         

          The Aggies have faced some real good players this year but Griffin may be the best they will face all season long.  Baylor has not faced a pair of running backs the Aggies possess yet this season.  They must find out a way to stop the run.  On the other side, the Aggies must force turnovers and put pressure on Griffin and Co. if they want to stop the high-scoring and explosive Bears offense. 

Prediction

               I see the game being a shootout but because the game is in College Station I think the Aggies will come out on top in a fight to the finish. The Aggies are 13-2 vs. the Bears since both joined the Big 12 conference.  If the game was in Waco, I think Baylor would win but with it being in College Station I think the Aggies take care of business, 42-38.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State

              The Texas Longhorns are coming off one of their worst losses in recent years to the hands of the Oklahoma Sooners.  The Longhorns were trounced 55-17 in the Red River Rivalry and dropped from #11 in the polls to #22.  It does not get any easier this week.  Oklahoma State travels to Austin with a #6 ranking, they are a conference and national title contender.  Until last season’s 33-16 victory over the Longhorns in Austin, Oklahoma State had not won in Austin since 1944.  Last year’s team won 11 games, they are even better this year.  Oklahoma State is coming off a 70-28 thrashing of Kansas in which they had two quarterbacks (starter Brandon Weeden and backup Clint Chelf) each throw for at least 200 yards for the first time in NCAA history.  Oklahoma State leads the country in scoring (51.4 ppg), second in passing offense (431.2) and second in total offense (577.4).  Defensively, Oklahoma State does give up points ranking 71st nationally.  Under Mack Brown, the Longhorns have had success coming off of losses.  They are 15-0 following a loss and 13-0 following the OU game.

Keys to the Game

          Oklahoma State is led by senior quarterback Brandon Weeden and Biletnikoff winner for best receiver in the country last year Justin Blackmon.  The two are the top duo in the country in terms of pass connections per game (10 completions per game).  Texas has dominated this series, winning 22 of the 25 matchups between the teams.  Mack Brown needs to pick one quarterback, either true freshman David Ash or redshirt sophomore Case McCoy.  The offense looked out of sync against OU’s defense with both quarterbacks playing.  If Brown can choose one, Texas will be better on offense but they must stop Weeden and Blackmon of OSU and I don’t see that happening.  OSU should use the same gameplan OU had vs. Texas, pressure the young quarterbacks.  It is clear that after watching last week’s game, Texas is vulnerable on their offensive line and has trouble reading blitz packages.  Look for Oklahoma State to have a repeat effort on defense like last week against Kansas when they forced 4 turnovers and had 9 tackles for loss.

Prediction

       I don’t see this game being close at all despite being played in Austin.  I see the Cowboys picking up their 4th win in the series and easily defeating the Longhorns, 49-14.

Other games slated for this week in college football:

11 Michigan vs. 23 Michigan State

1 LSU vs. Tennessee

Florida vs. 24 Auburn

18 Arizona State vs. 9 Oregon

17 Kansas State vs. Texas Tech

 

 

          

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Comments
  1. Jeff says:

    Chris- great analysis. I think the aggies win this one at home too. But I’m curious to see whether the A&M rushing defense is really that good, or is it just ranked high in terms of yards per game because every team knows they can throw at will against the A&M pass defense, so they don’t feel like they have to run? I think they will get tested this week. Last week, Iowa State geared their entire defense around stopping the deep ball for Baylor, and the Bears put up 400 yards rushing on them, including 200 by Ganaway.

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